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(Re)Emerging disease and conflict risk in Africa, 1997–2019
While the number of infectious zoonotic disease outbreaks has been rising, their impact on civil war and social conflict is poorly understood. This...
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Climate change, cash crops, and violence against civilians in the Sahel
The possibility that climate change will increase the risk of civil war by causing agricultural decline, thereby increasing competition over scarce...
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The need for willingness and opportunity: analyzing where and when environmental variability influences conflict in the Sahel
Researchers and policymakers often claim that harsh climate conditions intensify the risk of armed conflict by acting as a “threat multiplier.” Yet,...
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U.S. Federal Reserve Policies can cause Political instability by raising bread prices*
This note argues that the monetary policies of the U.S. Federal Reserve impact food prices globally and can – by extension – affect the incidence of...
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Introducing AfroGrid, a unified framework for environmental conflict research in Africa
In this study, we present Afro-Grid: an integrated, disaggregated 0.5-degree grid-month dataset on conflict, environmental stress, and socioeconomic...
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Statistical Analysis of Food Crises and Mass Killing
In this chapter, we build on the empirical foundation we laid Chapter “ Urban Development and Mass Killing: A First Look at the Data... -
Conclusion
In the concluding chapter, we summarize our main findings and discuss relevant policy implications. We discuss the theoretical, empirical, and... -
Urban Development, Food Shortages, and Mass Killing in Authoritarian Pakistan
In this chapter, we conduct a meticulous mixed-methods analysis of urbanization, food crises, and mass killing in authoritarian Pakistan. We begin by... -
Food Crises, Urban Development, and Mass Killing in Nondemocratic States
This chapter is devoted to developing the book’s theoretical story. It first discusses the foundations of the game-theoretic framework and model that... -
Introduction
In this chapter, we first lay out the book’s central research questions about the politics of mass killing campaigns in nondemocratic regimes. We... -
Food Riots, Urbanization, and Mass Killing Campaigns: Indonesia and Malaysia
We analyze two additional cases in this chapter: authoritarian Indonesia and nondemocratic Malaysia. We begin this chapter by analyzing the... -
Urban Development and Mass Killing: A First Look at the Data
This chapter presents the empirical research design adopted to test our main hypothesis. We discuss how we constructed and our annual 0.5-degree grid... -
The Politics of Mass Killing in Autocratic Regimes
This book develops a detailed, disaggregated theoretical and empirical framework that explains variations in mass killing by authoritarian regimes... -
From global to local, food insecurity is associated with contemporary armed conflicts
Food security has attracted widespread attention in recent years. Yet, scientists and practitioners have predominately understood food security in...