Jump to content

Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election: Difference between revisions

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Browse history interactively
← Previous editNext edit →
Content deleted Content added
VisualWikitext
Fixed typo
Tags: canned edit summary Mobile edit Mobile app edit iOS app edit
Line 60: Line 60:
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#DC241f; color:white;"|1%
|style="background:#DC241f; color:white;"|1%
|-
|25–27 Sep
|[https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1046115697288466433/ Opinium]
|[[Great Britain|GB]]
|TBC
|style="background:#B3E0FF" |'''39%'''
|36%
|9%
|TBC
|TBC
|6%
|TBC
|TBC
|style="background:#0087DC; color:white;" |3%
|-
|-
|24–25 Sep
|24–25 Sep

Revision as of 03:53, 30 September 2018

In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the present day. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, the next general election is scheduled to be held no later than 5 May 2022.[1]

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland as its 18 seats are contested by a different set of political parties.

Graphical summaries

The graph shows polls conducted for the next UK general election, including polls released by 28 September 2018. The trendline is based on the average of the last 10 polls.
  Conservative
  Labour
  Liberal Democrats
  SNP
  UKIP
  Greens

National poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[2] Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland; however, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.

The parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2017 general election are listed here. Other parties are included in the "Other" column.

2018

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Area Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid UKIP Green Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:60px;"|
26–27 Sep ComRes/Daily Express GB 2,036 39% 40% 9% 3% 0% 5% 2% 1% 1%
25–27 Sep Opinium GB TBC 39% 36% 9% TBC TBC 6% TBC TBC 3%
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,625 42% 36% 11% 4% 4% 2% 0% 6%
21–24 Sep ICM GB 2,006 41% 40% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
21–22 Sep BMG Research/HuffPost UK GB 1,006 38% 38% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 0% Tie
18–20 Sep Opinium GB 2,003 37% 39% 9% 4% 1% 8% 2% 1% 2%
18–19 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 2,509 40% 36% 11% 5% 5% 2% 1% 4%
14–18 Sep Ipsos Mori GB 1,070 39% 37% 13% 3% 0% 2% 5% 1% 2%
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,620 40% 36% 11% 4% 4% 3% 1% 4%
11–13 Sep Opinium/Observer GB 2,011 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 1%
6–10 Sep Kantar Public GB 1,119 40% 35% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 1% 5%
7–9 Sep ICM/The Guardian GB 2,051 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 3%
7 Sep Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,039 38% 37% 10% 3% 1% 4% 1% 5% 1%
4–7 Sep BMG Research/Independent GB 1,533 37% 38% 11% 2% 0% 7% 4% 1% 1%
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,883 39% 35% 11% 5% 5% 4% 1% 4%
31 Aug–1 Sep Survation UK 1,017 37% 41% 6% 3% 1% 7% 2% 3% 4%
28–29 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,664 39% 37% 10% 4% 5% 3% 1% 2%
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,697 40% 37% 9% 5% 6% 2% 2% 3%
17–19 Aug ICM/The Guardian GB 2,021 40% 40% 8% 3% 0% 6% 2% 3% Tie
14–17 Aug Opinium/Observer GB 2,003 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 7% 3% 1% 1%
14–16 Aug Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday GB 1,904 37% 40% 8% 3% 1% 6% 5% 1% 3%
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 41% 38% 8% 4% 6% 3% 1% 3%
9–13 Aug Kantar Public GB 1,119 40% 39% 9% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 1%
9–13 Aug Number Cruncher Politics GB 1,036 38% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 2%
6–10 Aug BMG/The Independent GB 1,481 37% 39% 10% 3% 0% 5% 5% 0% 2%
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,675 39% 35% 10% 5% 7% 3% 1% 4%
3–5 Aug ICM/The Guardian GB 2,049 39% 40% 7% 4% 0% 6% 3% 0% 1%
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,718 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% Tie
20–24 Jul Ipsos MORI GB 1,023 38% 38% 10% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% Tie
22–23 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,650 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 0% Tie
20–22 Jul ICM Research GB 2,010 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% 1%
19–20 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,668 38% 39% 9% 5% 6% 2% 1% 1%
16–17 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,657 36% 41% 9% 4% 7% 2% 0% 5%
12–14 Jul Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday GB 1,484 37% 42% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 5%
10–13 Jul Opinium/Observer GB 2,005 36% 40% 8% 4% 1% 8% 3% 1% 4%
10–11 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,732 37% 39% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% 2%
8–9 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,669 39% 39% 9% 4% 5% 3% 1% Tie
6–9 Jul ICM/The Guardian GB 2,013 41% 39% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2%
5–9 Jul Kantar TNS GB 1,086 40% 38% 9% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2%
7 Jul Survation UK 1,007 38% 40% 10% 3% 1% — — 7% 2%
3–5 Jul BMG Research GB 1,511 39% 37% 10% 3% 1% 3% 4% 0% 2%
3–4 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,641 41% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
22–27 Jun Ipsos MORI GB 1,026 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 3%
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,645 42% 37% 9% 5% 3% 3% 1% 5%
22–24 Jun ICM/The Guardian GB 2,013 41% 40% 9% 3% 0% 3% 3% 1% 1%
19–20 Jun Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,022 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3%
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,606 42% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,638 42% 39% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3%
8–10 Jun ICM/The Guardian GB 2,021 42% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2%
5–8 Jun BMG Research/Independent GB 1,490 38% 41% 11% 2% 0% 4% 2% 1% 3%
5–7 Jun Opinium/Observer GB 2,005 42% 40% 7% 6% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2%
4–5 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,619 44% 37% 8% 4% 3% 3% 0% 7%
31 May–4 Jun Survation UK 2,012 41% 40% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
28–29 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,670 42% 39% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% 3%
25–29 May ICM/The Guardian GB 2,002 43% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3%
18–22 May Ipsos MORI GB 1,015 40% 40% 7% 5% 0% 2% 5% 0% Tie
20–21 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 42% 38% 9% 4% 2% 3% 1% 4%
16–17 May ComRes/Daily Mail GB 2,045 41% 41% 7% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% Tie
15–16 May Opinium//Observer GB 2,009 43% 39% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 4%
13–14 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,634 43% 38% 9% 3% 3% 3% 1% 5%
11–13 May ICM/The Guardian GB 2,050 43% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 1% 3%
8–10 May Survation UK 1,585 41% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1%
8–9 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 43% 38% 9% 4% 2% 2% 1% 5%
1–4 May BMG Research/Independent GB 1441 39% 39% 10% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% Tie
3 May English local and mayoral elections
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,595 42% 38% 7% 4% 3% 3% 1% 4%
27–29 Apr ComRes/Daily Express GB 2,030 40% 40% 9% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
27–29 Apr ICM/Guardian GB 2,026 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 3%
24–25 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,668 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 1% 5%
20–24 Apr Ipsos MORI GB 1,004 41% 40% 10% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,631 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 1% 5%
14 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday UK 2,060 40% 40% 9% 4% 1% 3% 1% 3% Tie
14 Apr Gerard Batten officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party
10–13 Apr BMG Research[3] GB 1,562 39% 38% 11% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 1%
11–12 Apr ComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,038 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1%
10–12 Apr Opinium/Observer GB 2,008 40% 40% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% Tie
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,639 40% 40% 9% 4% 4% 2% 1% Tie
6–8 Apr ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,682 42% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
4–5 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,662 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1%
27 Mar–5 Apr Number Cruncher Politics UK 1,037 43% 38% 8% 4% 1% 3% 3% 0% 5%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,659 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 2% 1% 4%
16–18 Mar ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,642 44% 41% 8% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3%
13–16 Mar BMG Research GB 1,815 38% 40% 10% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2%
14–15 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,986 42% 39% 7% 5% 3% 3% 1% 3%
13–15 Mar Opinium/Observer GB 2,001 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 0% 2%
7–8 Mar Survation/GMB UK 1,038 37% 44% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 3% 7%
2–7 Mar Ipsos MORI GB 1,012 43% 42% 6% 4% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1%
5–6 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,641 41% 43% 7% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2%
2–4 Mar ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,030 43% 42% 7% 3% 0% 2% 3% 0% 1%
26–27 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,662 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
19–20 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,650 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 2%
16–19 Feb ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,662 42% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% 1%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,639 40% 41% 8% 3% 4% 2% 1% 1%
6–12 Feb Kantar Public GB 2,448 39% 39% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% Tie
6–9 Feb BMG Research GB 1,507 40% 40% 8% 2% 0% 5% 4% 1% Tie
6–8 Feb Opinium/The Observer GB 2,002 42% 39% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 3%
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 2,000 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 3% 1% 4%
2–4 Feb ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,021 41% 40% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 1%
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,669 42% 42% 6% 4% 2% 3% 1% Tie
26–29 Jan Survation UK 1,059 40% 43% 8% 2% 0% 3% 1% 3% 3%
19–23 Jan Ipsos MORI GB 1,031 39% 42% 9% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3%
10–19 Jan ICM Research/The Guardian GB 4,117 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% Tie
16–17 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,672 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1%
12–14 Jan ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,027 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 3% 0% 1%
11–12 Jan Opinium/The Observer GB 2,008 40% 40% 6% 4% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
9–12 Jan BMG Research GB 1,513 40% 41% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1%
7–8 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,663 40% 41% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1%

2017

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Area Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid UKIP Green Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:60px;"|
19–20 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,610 40% 42% 7% 5% 4% 1% 0% 2%
12–14 Dec ICM Research/Sun on Sunday GB 2,004 41% 42% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
12–14 Dec Opinium/Observer GB 2,005 39% 41% 7% 3% 1% 6% 2% 1% 2%
10–11 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,680 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1%
8–10 Dec ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,006 42% 40% 8% 3% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2%
5–8 Dec BMG Research/Independent GB 1,509 37% 40% 9% 3% 1% 5% 3% 1% 3%
4–5 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,638 40% 41% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
30 Nov–1 Dec Survation/Mail on Sunday UK 1,003 37% 45% 6% 3% 0% 4% 1% 3% 8%
29 Nov–1 Dec ICM Research/Sun on Sunday GB 2,050 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
24–28 Nov Ipsos MORI GB 1,003 37% 39% 9% 5% 4% 4% 1% 2%
24–26 Nov ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,029 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 5% 3% 0% Tie
22–23 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,644 39% 41% 7% 4% 4% 3% 1% 2%
19–20 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,677 40% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 3%
14–20 Nov Kantar Public GB 2,437 42% 38% 9% 2% 0% 5% 3% 2% 4%
14–17 Nov BMG Research GB 1,507 40% 41% 8% N/A N/A 4% N/A 7% 1%
14–16 Nov Opinium/Observer GB 2,032 40% 42% 6% 4% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2%
10–12 Nov ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,010 41% 41% 7% 4% 0% 4% 2% 1% Tie
7–8 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 2,012 40% 43% 6% 4% 4% 2% 1% 3%
27 Oct–1 Nov Ipsos MORI GB 1,052 38% 40% 9% 5% 4% 3% — 2%
23–24 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,637 41% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
20–23 Oct ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,022 42% 42% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% Tie
17–20 Oct BMG Research GB 1,506 37% 42% 10% N/A N/A 4% N/A 7% 5%
18–19 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2%
10–11 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,680 39% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 3%
6–8 Oct ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,052 41% 41% 7% 4% 1% 4% 2% 0% Tie
4–6 Oct Opinium/The Observer GB 1,225 40% 42% 5% 4% 0% 5% 2% 1% 2%
4–5 Oct Survation UK 2,047 38% 44% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 2% 6%
4–5 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,615 40% 42% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2%
29 Sep Henry Bolton becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[4]
26–29 Sep BMG/The Independent GB 1,910 37% 42% 10% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 5%
22–24 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,716 39% 43% 7% 4% 4% 2% 0% 4%
22–24 Sep ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,968 40% 42% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 0% 2%
22 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday UK 1,174 38% 42% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 4%
19–22 Sep Opinium GB 2,004 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2%
15–20 Sep Survation/LabourList UK 1,614 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1%
15–18 Sep Ipsos MORI GB 1,023 40% 44% 9% 4% 0% 2% 1% 0% 4%
12–15 Sep Opinium GB 1,219 41% 41% 5% 4% 1% 5% 3% 0% Tie
12–15 Sep BMG/The Independent GB 1,447 39% 38% 8% 3% 0% 6% 4% 1% 1%
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
8–10 Sep ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,052 42% 42% 7% 3% 3% 3% 0% Tie
31 Aug–1 Sep Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,046 39% 43% 7% 3% 1% 4% — 3% 4%
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,658 41% 42% 6% 4% 4% 2% 0% 1%
25–28 Aug ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,972 42% 42% 7% 2% 0% 3% 3% 0% Tie
21–22 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,664 41% 42% 8% 4% 4% 1% 0% 1%
15–18 Aug Opinium/Observer GB 1,256 40% 43% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 0% 3%
7–11 Aug BMG/The Independent GB 1,512 42% 39% 7% 2% 0% 6% 3% 0% 3%
31 Jul–1 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,665 41% 44% 7% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3%
20 Jul Vince Cable becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[5]
18–19 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,593 41% 43% 6% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
14–18 Jul Ipsos MORI GB 1,071 41% 42% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 1% 1%
14–16 Jul ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,046 42% 43% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1%
14–15 Jul Survation/Mail on Sunday UK 1,024 39% 41% 8% 3% 1% 6% 1% 1% 2%
11–14 Jul Opinium/Observer GB 2,013 41% 43% 5% 3% 0% 5% 2% 0% 2%
11–14 Jul BMG Research GB 1,518 37% 42% 10% N/A N/A 4% N/A 7% 5%
10–11 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,700 40% 45% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 5%
5–6 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 38% 46% 6% 4% 4% 1% 1% 8%
30 Jun–3 Jul ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,044 41% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2%
28–30 Jun Survation UK 1,016 41% 40% 7% 2% 0% 2% 2% 6% 1%
27–29 Jun Opinium/Observer GB 2,010 39% 45% 5% 3% 0% 5% 2% 0% 6%
16–21 Jun Panelbase/Sunday Times GB 5,481 41% 46% 6% 3% 1% 2% 1% 0% 5%
17 Jun Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,005 41% 44% 6% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3% 3%
10 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday UK 1,036 39% 45% 7% 3% 1% 3% — 2% 6%
8 Jun 2017 election (GB only)[6] GB 31,384,105 43.5% 41.0% 7.6% 3.1% 0.5% 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 2.5%
8 Jun 2017 election (UK-wide)[7] UK 32,204,124 42.4% 40.0% 7.4% 3.0% 0.5% 1.8% 1.6% 3.4% 2.4%

Sub-national polling

Scotland

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Scottish Green Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
5–10 Jul 2018 Survation/Daily Record 1,002 42% 24% 23% 8% — — 3% 18%
21–26 Jun 2018 Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 1,018 38% 27% 25% 7% 2% TBC TBC 11%
8–13 Jun 2018 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,021 38% 27% 27% 6% 2% <1% <1% 11%
1–5 Jun 2018 YouGov/The Times 1,075 40% 27% 23% 7% 2% 1% 1% 13%
23–28 Mar 2018 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,037 36% 28% 27% 6% 2% 1% <1% 8%
5–11 Mar 2018 Ipsos Mori / STV 1,050 39% 25% 26% 6% 4% 0% 0% 13%
24–28 Jan 2018 Survation/Daily Record 1,020 39% 24% 27% 7% — — 3% 12%
12–16 Jan 2018 YouGov/The Times 1,135 36% 23% 28% 6% 3% 3% 0% 8%
1–5 Dec 2017 Survation/Sunday Post 1,006 38% 24% 29% 7% — — 3% 9%
27–30 Nov 2017 Survation/Daily Record 1,017 37% 25% 28% 7% — — 3% 9%
18 Nov 2017 Richard Leonard becomes leader of the Scottish Labour Party[8]
2–5 Oct 2017 YouGov/The Times 1,135 40% 23% 30% 5% 1% 1% <1% 10%
8–12 Sep 2017 Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1,016 39% 26% 26% 7% — — 1.6% 13%
31 Aug–7 Sep 2017 Panelbase 1,021 41% 27% 24% 6% 2% <1% <1% 14%
8 Jun 2017 General election results[9] 2,649,695 36.9% 28.6% 27.1% 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 8.3%

Wales

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Plaid Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:60px;"|
28 Sep 2018 Adam Price becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[10]
6 Sep 2018 Paul Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[11]
28 June–2 July 2018 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,015 44% 31% 13% 5% 3% — 3% 13%
12–15 March 2018 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,015 46% 33% 11% 4% 4% 2% 1% 13%
8–25 Feb 2018 ICM Research 1,001 49% 32% 11% 5% 2% 1% 0% 17%
21–24 Nov 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,016 47% 31% 11% 5% 3% 0% 3% 16%
3 Nov 2017 Jane Dodds becomes leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats[12]
4–7 Sep 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,011 50% 32% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% 18%
8 June 2017 General election results[13] 1,575,814 48.9% 33.6% 10.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2% 15.3%

Northern Ireland

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size DUP SF SDLP UUP Alliance Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Democratic Unionist Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Sinn Fein/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Social Democratic and Labour Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Ulster Unionist Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Alliance Party of Northern Ireland/meta/color; width:60px;"|
8 June 2017 General election results[14] 1,242,698 36.0% 29.4% 11.7% 10.3% 7.9% 4.6% 6.6%

Regional polling in England

London

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem Green UKIP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
3–7 Sep 2018 YouGov 1,218 48% 26% 15% 5% 4% 2% 22%
3 May 2018 London local elections 2018
20–24 Apr 2018 YouGov / QMUL 1,099 52% 31% 10% 3% 2% 1% 21%
12–15 Feb 2018 YouGov / QMUL 1,155 53% 33% 8% 3% 2% 0% 20%
25–29 Sep 2017 YouGov / QMUL 1,044 55% 30% 8% 2% 3% 0% 25%
8 June 2017 General election results 3,821,233 54.6% 33.2% 8.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 21.4%

Polls of individual constituencies

Bath

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Lib Dem Con Lab Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"|
7–14 Sep 2017 Survation/Bath Labour 555 45.8% 32.1% 17.0% 5.2% 13.7%
8 Jun 2017 2017 Election Result 49,582 47.3% 35.8% 14.7% 2.3% 11.5%

Leadership approval polling

Main article: Leadership approval opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

Preferred Prime Minister polling

Some opinion pollsters ask voters which party leader they think would make the best Prime Minister – Theresa May (Conservative Party) or Jeremy Corbyn (Labour Party). The questions differ slightly from pollster to pollster:

  • Opinium: "Which, if any, of the following people do you think would be the best Prime Minister?"
  • BMG Research: "If you had to choose between the two, who would you prefer to see as the next Prime Minister?"
  • YouGov / Survation: "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
  • Ipsos MORI: "Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, the Conservatives’ Theresa May, or Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn?"
  • ICM: "Putting aside which party you support, and only thinking about your impressions of them as leaders, which one of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister for Britain?"

Theresa May vs Jeremy Corbyn

2018

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn None of these Don't know Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"|
18–20 Sep Opinium 2,003 33% 23% 36% 9% 10%
18–19 Sep YouGov 2,509 36% 23% — 41% 13%
12–13 Sep YouGov 1,620 36% 23% — 41% 13%
11–13 Sep Opinium 2,011 32% 23% 35% 10% 9%
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,883 34% 25% — 41% 9%
28–29 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,664 35% 23% — 42% 12%
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,697 36% 23% — 42% 13%
14 Aug Opinium 2,003 30% 24% — 46% 6%
13–14 Aug YouGov 1,660 35% 24% — 41% 11%
8–9 Aug YouGov 1,674 36% 22% — 39% 14%
30–31 July YouGov 1,718 32% 25% — 40% 7%
22–23 July YouGov 1,650 32% 26% — 39% 6%
16–17 July YouGov 1,657 33% 25% — 38% 8%
10–13 July Opinium 2,005 29% 25% 36% 10% 4%
8–9 July YouGov / The Times 1,669 34% 27% — 36% 7%
3–4 July YouGov / The Times 1,641 35% 25% — 37% 10%
25–26 Jun YouGov / The Times 1,645 38% 26% — 34% 12%
18–19 Jun YouGov 1,606 38% 26% — 34% 12%
11–12 Jun YouGov 1,638 39% 24% — 37% 15%
5–7 Jun Opinium 2,005 35% 25% 29% 11% 10%
4–5 Jun YouGov 1,619 37% 24% — 37% 13%
28–29 May YouGov 1,670 38% 27% — 35% 11%
20–21 May YouGov 1,660 37% 27% — 35% 10%
15–16 May Opinium 2,009 36% 23% 30% 10% 13%
13–14 May YouGov/The Times 1,634 40% 25% — 35% 15%
8–9 May YouGov/The Times 1,648 39% 25% — 36% 14%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Times 1,595 37% 27% — 36% 10%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,631 39% 25% — 35% 14%
14 Apr Survation 2,060 43% 30% — 28% 13%
10–12 Apr Opinium 2,008 36% 24% 31% 9% 12%
9–10 Apr YouGov 1,639 37% 26% — 37% 11%
4–5 Apr YouGov 1,662 39% 26% — 35% 13%
26–27 Mar YouGov 1,659 38% 27% — 35% 11%
13–15 Mar Opinium/The Observer 2,001 34% 26% 29% 11% 8%
5–6 Mar YouGov 1,641 36% 29% — 35% 7%
26–27 Feb YouGov 1,622 36% 30% — 33% 6%
19–20 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,650 36% 29% — 35% 7%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,539 36% 29% — 35% 7%
6–9 Feb BMG Research 1,507 32% 30% — 38% 2%
6–8 Feb Opinium/The Observer 2,002 34% 28% 28% 10% 6%
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Times 2,000 37% 29% — 33% 8%
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,669 35% 29% — 36% 6%
16–17 Jan YouGov 1,672 36% 31% — 33% 5%
11–12 Jan Opinium 2,008 33% 28% 29% 11% 5%
7–8 Jan YouGov 1,663 37% 31% — 31% 6%

2017

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn None of these Don't know Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color; width:60px;"|
19–20 Dec YouGov 1,610 37% 31% — 32% 6%
12–14 Dec Opinium 1,680 34% 28% 27% 11% 6%
9–10 Dec YouGov 1,680 37% 28% — 35% 9%
5–8 Dec BMG Research 1,509 32% 33% — 38% 1%
4–5 Dec YouGov 1,638 34% 30% — 36% 4%
29 Nov–1 Dec ICM Research 2,050 40% 32% — 28% 8%
14–16 Nov Opinium 2,003 34% 29% 27% 10% 5%
7–8 Nov YouGov/The Times 2,012 34% 31% — 35% 3%
10–11 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,680 33% 33% — 35% Tie
6–8 Oct ICM/The Guardian 2,052 41% 32% — 27% 9%
4–6 Oct Opinium/Observer 2,009 32% 29% 28% 11% 3%
4–5 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,615 36% 33% — 32% 3%
26–29 Sep BMG Research 1,910 30% 32% — 38% 2%
22–24 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,716 37% 29% — 33% 8%
19–22 Sep Opinium/Observer 2,004 36% 26% 28% 10% 10%
15–18 Sep Ipsos MORI 1,023 45% 38% 10% 6% 7%
12–15 Sep Opinium/Observer 2,009 36% 28% 26% 11% 8%
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,658 37% 32% — 31% 5%
21–22 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,664 37% 33% — 31% 4%
15–18 Aug Opinium/Observer 1,256 34% 30% 27% 9% 4%
7–11 Aug BMG/The Independent 1,512 32% 33% 26% 10% 1%
31 Jul–1 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,665 36% 33% — 31% 3%
18–19 Jul YouGov/The Times 1,593 37% 32% — 30% 5%
14–18 Jul Ipsos MORI 1,071 46% 38% 10% 6% 8%
14–15 Jul Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,024 43% 35% — 21% 8%
11–14 Jul Opinium/Observer 2,013 36% 33% 22% 9% 3%
10–11 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,700 38% 33% — 29% 5%
28–30 Jun Survation 1,017 44% 38% — 19% 6%
27–29 Jun Opinium/Observer 2,010 35% 34% 23% 8% 1%
21–22 Jun YouGov/The Times 1,670 34% 35% — 30% 1%
9–10 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,720 39% 39% — 22% Tie

Previous polling

The following graphs show UK general election polling over a period of the previous 25 years and previous 7 years.

Long-term opinion polling over the span of 25 years. This runs from the 1992 general election to the 2017 general election. The grey vertical lines mark the general elections of 1997, 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015.
  Conservative
  Labour
  UKIP
  Liberal Democrats
  Green
All UK opinion polling since the 2010 general election. This graph covers both 2015 and 2017 general elections, but not opinion polls that have followed the 2017 general election.
  Conservative
  Labour
  UKIP
  Liberal Democrats
  Green

See also

Notes

References

  1. ^ "Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011". www.legislation.gov.uk. Retrieved 12 June 2017.
  2. ^ "Westminster Voting Intention". UK Opinion Bee. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
  3. ^ "BMG's Westminster Voting Intention Results: An Update - BMG Research". BMG Research. 2 May 2018. Retrieved 2 May 2018.
  4. ^ "Henry Bolton elected UKIP leader". 29 September 2017 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
  5. ^ "Vince Cable is new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 July 2017. Retrieved 20 July 2017.
  6. ^ "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  7. ^ "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  8. ^ "Richard Leonard to lead Scottish Labour". BBC News. 18 November 2017. Retrieved 18 November 2017.
  9. ^ "Results of the 2017 general election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  10. ^ "Plaid Cymru Leadership Contest: Adam Price wins". 28 September 2018 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
  11. ^ "Paul Davies wins Welsh Tory assembly group leadership poll". 6 September 2018 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
  12. ^ "Jane Dodds is new Welsh Liberal Democrat leader". 3 November 2017 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
  13. ^ "Results of the 2017 general election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  14. ^ "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_for_the_2019_United_Kingdom_general_election&oldid=861803333"